I find it laughable that the top comment is "No one wins, but Ul'dah probably loses." Objectively speaking, I'd say Gridania probably loses. Second-smallest population, if I'm not mistaken (if it's third, they're even worse off), and their force of lancers, archers and conjurers are, as stated in the reddit thread, best suited to a defensive action (likewise for the Elementals). If you're always on the defensive and on the backfoot... you're eventually going to lose, even if you outlast a thousand sieges.Â
And the whole "Limsa can blockade the mainland nations" idea is also laughable given that the only source of oversea shipping is Limsa by de facto position as dominant force on Vylbrand. I'm sorry, what's that? We're not getting supplies from Vylbrand anymore? Oh well, we'll take the hits to prices and go looking on the mainland for substitute products.
Objectively speaking, Limsa probably has the best chance at coming out on top, but only due to political instability within the Syndicate and due to the nature of the Gridanian forces.
Twelve forbid what's left of the Syndicate bands together after the cowards have cut and run; Ul'dah would tear the other two nations to shreds.
EDIT: If we're throwing Ishgard and the Garlean Empire into it... Ishgard may have the martial clout to win through. The Empire stands no real chance if the Alliance comes together to oppose it (Warriors of Light were only instrumental in countering the Ascian and Allagan pieces on the board; several manned castrums still stand after the latest MSQs).
EDIT 2: If Balmung Frontlines is any indication, Maelstrom wins. Almost Every. Gods. Damned. Time. Occasional victory to the Adders.
And the whole "Limsa can blockade the mainland nations" idea is also laughable given that the only source of oversea shipping is Limsa by de facto position as dominant force on Vylbrand. I'm sorry, what's that? We're not getting supplies from Vylbrand anymore? Oh well, we'll take the hits to prices and go looking on the mainland for substitute products.
Objectively speaking, Limsa probably has the best chance at coming out on top, but only due to political instability within the Syndicate and due to the nature of the Gridanian forces.
Twelve forbid what's left of the Syndicate bands together after the cowards have cut and run; Ul'dah would tear the other two nations to shreds.
EDIT: If we're throwing Ishgard and the Garlean Empire into it... Ishgard may have the martial clout to win through. The Empire stands no real chance if the Alliance comes together to oppose it (Warriors of Light were only instrumental in countering the Ascian and Allagan pieces on the board; several manned castrums still stand after the latest MSQs).
EDIT 2: If Balmung Frontlines is any indication, Maelstrom wins. Almost Every. Gods. Damned. Time. Occasional victory to the Adders.